SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 0-1 (5.45%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
32.14% ( 1.28) | 21.67% ( 0.51) | 46.18% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 68.97% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.47% ( -1.91) | 30.53% ( 1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.17% ( -2.32) | 51.82% ( 2.32) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.26) | 19.81% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( -0.43) | 51.88% ( 0.43) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -1.28) | 13.99% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.49% ( -2.59) | 41.51% ( 2.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.24)0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.26)2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.15)3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.78% Total : 46.19% |
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