SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.75%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 3-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
58.75% ( -0.03) | 19.78% ( 0) | 21.47% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.49% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.02) | 30.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.92% ( 0.02) | 52.08% ( -0.01) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.56% | 10.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.98% ( -0) | 34.02% ( 0.01) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( 0.03) | 26.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% ( 0.04) | 62.2% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 58.75% | 1-1 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 21.47% |
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