Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
58.6% ( 0.03) | 21.09% ( -0) | 20.3% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.63% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% ( -0.04) | 38.8% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% ( -0.04) | 61.11% ( 0.04) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0) | 12.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.49% ( -0.01) | 39.5% ( 0) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( -0.05) | 32.61% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( -0.05) | 69.15% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.73% 3-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.43% 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.6% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.3% |
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