SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-2 (4.93%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
32.58% ( -4.07) | 21.15% ( -0.16) | 46.27% ( 4.23) |
| Both teams to score 71.24% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.43) | 27.68% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.54) | 48.35% ( 0.53) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -2.03) | 18.22% ( 2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -3.57) | 49.24% ( 3.56) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% ( 1.24) | 12.89% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.7% ( 2.48) | 39.3% ( -2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.35)1-0 @ 4% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.54)2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.37)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.67% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.55)2-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.51)1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.39)2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.33)3-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.21)2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.27% |
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