SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
48.93% ( 0.99) | 22.74% ( -0.05) | 28.34% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 62.43% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% ( -0.38) | 38.07% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.66% ( -0.4) | 60.34% ( 0.41) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.22) | 15.87% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.92% ( 0.39) | 45.07% ( -0.39) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0.8) | 25.79% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( -1.1) | 60.74% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.34% |
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