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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 61.3%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.86% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s |
19.86% ( 0.46) | 18.84% ( 0.16) | 61.3% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 66.47% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.59% ( -0.03) | 28.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.04) | 49.24% ( 0.05) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.39) | 26.85% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 0.51) | 62.16% ( -0.5) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% ( -0.14) | 9.13% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.01% ( -0.35) | 30.99% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 19.86% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.84% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.33% Total : 61.3% |
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