SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
48.69% ( -0.11) | 22.29% ( 0.2) | 29.03% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.64% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.6% ( -1) | 35.41% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.57% ( -1.11) | 57.44% ( 1.12) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( -0.4) | 14.97% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.62% ( -0.77) | 43.39% ( 0.78) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.55) | 23.99% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( -0.79) | 58.24% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.03% |
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