Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 60.49%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 20.58% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
20.58% ( 1.32) | 18.93% ( 0.4) | 60.49% ( -1.72) |
Both teams to score 67.36% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.21% ( 0.08) | 27.79% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.52% ( 0.1) | 48.48% ( -0.1) |
Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( 1.19) | 25.86% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.16% ( 1.58) | 60.84% ( -1.58) |
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.86% ( -0.36) | 9.14% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69% ( -0.87) | 31% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.01% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.93% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.37% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) 2-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.37% Total : 60.49% |
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