SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
50.63% ( -2.34) | 22.74% ( 0.41) | 26.63% ( 1.92) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.57% ( -0.14) | 39.42% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( -0.15) | 61.76% ( 0.14) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.85) | 15.76% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% ( -1.59) | 44.88% ( 1.58) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( 1.38) | 27.68% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( 1.73) | 63.23% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.63% |
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