SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
54.16% ( 0.33) | 23.17% ( 0.2) | 22.67% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -1.46) | 45.22% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -1.41) | 67.56% ( 1.41) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( -0.41) | 16.61% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.57% ( -0.73) | 46.43% ( 0.73) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( -1.28) | 34.02% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.29% ( -1.4) | 70.71% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.67% |
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