SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
25.48% ( -0.71) | 22.07% ( -0.55) | 52.44% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( 1.97) | 37.24% ( -1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( 2.1) | 59.45% ( -2.1) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( 0.52) | 27.36% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% ( 0.67) | 62.82% ( -0.67) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 1.12) | 14.37% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( 2.14) | 42.24% ( -2.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.8% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.17)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.48% Total : 52.45% |
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