SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Stoke City Under-21s | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Nottingham Forest Under-21s | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21s | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
76.08% ( 0.13) | 13.6% ( -0.18) | 10.32% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.04% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.77% ( 1.16) | 23.22% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.43% ( 1.55) | 42.56% ( -1.55) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.91% ( 0.26) | 5.08% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.78% ( 0.77) | 20.22% ( -0.77) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 1.02) | 34.63% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( 1.07) | 71.35% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.12)6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)6-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.56% Total : 76.08% | 1-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.35% Total : 13.6% | 1-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.32% |
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