Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.28%) and 0-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.