Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
