Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 26, 2021 at 6pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 2
Leeds

Almiron (57')
Schar (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raphinha (17'), Harrison (61')
Alioski (54'), Rodrigo (87'), Harrison (90+1')

Fabian Schar: 'Confidence is low at Newcastle'

Newcastle boss Steve Bruce remains positive despite Leeds defeat

The Match

Match Report

The Magpies have gone 11 games in all competitions without a win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leeds United
17.58%	21.45%	60.98%

Both teams to score 52.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33%

44.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97%

67.03%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04%

38.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.32%

75.68%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83%

14.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.15%

41.85%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 17.58%

Leeds United 60.97%

Draw 21.44%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 5.2% 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.58%	1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.44%	0-1 @ 10.78% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 60.97%