Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 6, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Arsenal

Watkins (2')
Konsa (31'), Nakamba (35'), Grealish (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Partey (52'), Xhaka (90+4')

Rio Ferdinand slams "powder puff" Arsenal

Dean Smith lavishes praise on in-form Ollie Watkins

Arsenal equal unwanted losing record with defeat at Villa

Arsenal's Thomas Partey suffers fresh injury setback

Mikel Arteta bemoans lack of ruthlessness in Aston Villa defeat

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
24.82%	24.12%	51.06%

Both teams to score 54.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81%

47.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58%

69.42%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.78%

33.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.17%

69.83%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51%

18.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29%

49.71%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 24.82%

Arsenal 51.05%

Draw 24.11%

Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.77% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.82%	1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.75% 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.05%