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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2021 at 2.05pm UK
Villa Park
LL

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Leicester

Traore (48')
Luiz (51'), Elmohamady (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maddison (19'), Barnes (23')
Ndidi (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
23.46%23.74%52.79%
Both teams to score 54.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14%46.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88%69.11%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78%34.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09%70.91%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.36%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 23.46%
    Leicester City 52.78%
    Draw 23.73%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-1 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 23.46%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 6.06%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 9.08%
1-3 @ 5.62%
0-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.78%

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