Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
23.46%	23.74%	52.79%

Both teams to score 54.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14%

46.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88%

69.11%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09%

70.91%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29%

17.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63%

48.36%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 23.46%

Leicester City 52.78%

Draw 23.73%

Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.46%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.78%