Aston Villa
2 - 0
Newcastle

Watkins (13'), Traore (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schar (26'), Carroll (54'), Lascelles (57')

Build‑up

DeAndre Yedlin's Newcastle United future 'in doubt'

Steve Bruce "convinced" Newcastle will turn their fortunes around

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
52.98%	23.27%	23.76%

Both teams to score 56.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52%

44.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15%

66.86%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23%

16.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29%

46.71%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35%

32.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.8%

69.2%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 52.98%

Newcastle United 23.76%

Draw 23.26%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.98%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.76%