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Premier League | Gameweek 34
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
LL

Brighton
2 - 0
Leeds

Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayling (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
41.88%25.06%33.05%
Both teams to score 56.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44%46.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16%68.83%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81%22.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41%55.59%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 41.88%
    Leeds United 33.05%
    Draw 25.06%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.05%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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