Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
35.46%	26.93%	37.61%

Both teams to score 51.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88%

54.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46%

75.54%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91%

65.09%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53%

63.47%

Score Analysis

Southampton 35.45%

Brighton & Hove Albion 37.61%

Draw 26.93%

Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.45%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.61%