Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
