Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 10, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 2
Leeds

Torres (76')
Ake (35'), Silva (83'), Fernandinho (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dallas (42', 90+1')
Alioski (66')
Cooper (45+1')

Pep Guardiola stands by team selection against Leeds

Ferran Torres: 'We will move on from Leeds defeat'

Marcelo Bielsa insists Leeds deserved to beat Man City

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Leeds United
72.68%	15.72%	11.6%

Both teams to score 57.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.4%

30.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.08%

51.93%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.7%

7.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.57%

26.43%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92%

38.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15%

74.85%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 72.68%

Leeds United 11.6%

Draw 15.72%

Manchester City	Draw	Leeds United
2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 5.44% 4-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.87% 5-0 @ 2.85% 5-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.53% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-0 @ 1.24% 6-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.9% Total : 72.68%	1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.44% 0-0 @ 2.78% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.72%	1-2 @ 3.39% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-2 @ 1.3% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.71% Total : 11.6%