Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
