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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
NL

Brighton
3 - 0
Newcastle

Trossard (45+3'), Welbeck (51'), Maupay (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dummett (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
49.7%26.3%24%
Both teams to score 47.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54%56.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54%77.46%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22%22.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51%56.49%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95%39.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23%75.77%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 49.7%
    Newcastle United 24%
    Draw 26.3%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 13.15%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.37%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24%

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