Leeds appear to have a more coherent strategy than Southampton at present, so we can see them winning in what should be an open, entertaining affair. The Saints do have individual quality, but it may take time for them to click having changed formation and signed several young players this summer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leeds United
39.67% ( -0.01)	27.45% ( -0.16)	32.88% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 49.07% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

0.63)

56.5% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.51% (

0.51)

77.49% (

-0.51)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

0.3)

27.82% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

0.38)

63.41% (

-0.38)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

0.44)

32.02% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

0.5)

68.49% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Southampton 39.66%

Leeds United 32.87%

Draw 27.45%

Southampton	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.66%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.87%