With local pride at stake, many of Barnsley's players may raise their game for this contest. However, even if Marsch names an entirely different starting XI, we expect the home side to power their way to victory over their county neighbours. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Barnsley
56.94% ( 1.6)	22.77% ( -0.53)	20.29% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

0.89)

46.37% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

0.83)

68.65% (

-0.83)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

0.87)

16.05% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58% (

1.57)

45.42% (

-1.57)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

-0.58)

36.97% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24% (

-0.58)

73.76% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 56.93%

Barnsley 20.29%

Draw 22.77%

Leeds United	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.93%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.29%