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Community Shield | Final
Aug 7, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
MC

Leicester
1 - 0
Man City

Iheanacho (89' pen.)
Bertrand (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guardiola i Sala (41'), Dias (87'), Fernandinho (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Leicester CityDrawManchester City
22.38%23.32%54.3%
Both teams to score 54.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.79%46.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5%68.5%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15%34.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42%71.58%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08%16.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02%46.98%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 22.38%
    Manchester City 54.3%
    Draw 23.32%
Leicester CityDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 6.22%
2-1 @ 5.82%
2-0 @ 3.28%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.38%
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-2 @ 9.31%
1-3 @ 5.81%
0-3 @ 5.51%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.58%
0-4 @ 2.45%
2-4 @ 1.36%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.3%

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