Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 39.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.32%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
