Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match.
