Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.
