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MC
Premier League | Gameweek 10
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
BL

Man City
5 - 0
Burnley

Mahrez (6', 22', 69'), Mendy (41'), Torres (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
81.47%12.53%6%
Both teams to score 43.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.82%35.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.8%57.2%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43%6.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.52%24.48%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.04%53.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.75%87.25%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 81.46%
    Burnley 6%
    Draw 12.53%
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 13.14%
3-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 9.66%
4-0 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 7.36%
4-1 @ 5.01%
5-0 @ 4.42%
5-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.27%
6-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.55%
6-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 81.46%
1-1 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 3.55%
2-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 12.53%
0-1 @ 2.19%
1-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 6%

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