Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Burnley |
81.47% | 12.53% | 6% |
Both teams to score 43.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.82% | 35.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.8% | 57.2% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% | 6.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.52% | 24.48% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.75% | 87.25% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 13.14% 3-0 @ 11.93% 1-0 @ 9.66% 4-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-1 @ 5.01% 5-0 @ 4.42% 5-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.27% 6-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.55% 6-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.92% Total : 81.46% | 1-1 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 3.55% 2-2 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.52% Total : 12.53% | 0-1 @ 2.19% 1-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.98% Total : 6% |
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