Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
