Premier League | Gameweek 12

Dec 13, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
0 - 1
Burnley

Bellerin (71'), Elneny (73')
Xhaka (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aubameyang (73' og.)
Brady (33')

Arsenal equal unwanted 61-year-old losing record

Evra opens up on Henry's dislike of Xhaka

Mikel Arteta: 'Granit Xhaka red showed his commitment'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Burnley
65.11%	20.68%	14.21%

Both teams to score 47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4%

47.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2%

69.8%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16%

13.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.79%

41.2%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.84%

45.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.94%

81.05%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 65.1%

Burnley 14.21%

Draw 20.68%

Arsenal	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 6.41% 4-0 @ 3.98% 4-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.56% Total : 65.1%	1-1 @ 9.83% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 4.97% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 1.98% 1-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.21%