Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
