Wolves
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Traore (43'), Dendoncker (77'), Moutinho (83')
Moutinho (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Ghazi (90+4' pen.)
Luiz (14'), Cash (29'), McGinn (30'), Targett (81'), Konsa (82'), Grealish (88')
Luiz (85')

Build‑up

Fabio Silva: 'I can fill Raul Jimenez void'

Dean Smith bemoans flurry of cards in Aston Villa's win over Wolves

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa
43.33%	27.35%	29.32%

Both teams to score 48.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.84%

57.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98%

78.02%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76%

61.23%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07%

34.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33%

71.67%

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 43.32%

Aston Villa 29.32%

Draw 27.34%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.32%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.32%