Liverpool
0 - 1
Burnley

Fabinho (45+2'), Matip (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barnes (83' pen.)
Barnes (39')

Build‑up

Carragher: 'Liverpool title hopes slipping away'

Klopp: 'We are lacking confidence as a group of players'

Liverpool suffering worst goal drought for 20 years

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 78.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 7.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.99%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Burnley
78.98%	13.69%	7.34%

Both teams to score 46.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.78%

35.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.76%

57.24%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.91%

7.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.15%

25.85%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.83%

50.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.22%

84.78%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 78.98%

Burnley 7.34%

Draw 13.69%

Liverpool	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 12.46% 3-0 @ 10.99% 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.02% 5-0 @ 3.85% 5-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.73% 6-0 @ 1.7% 6-1 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 78.98%	1-1 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 3.56% 2-2 @ 2.96% Other @ 0.68% Total : 13.69%	0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 2.24% Other @ 2.64% Total : 7.34%