Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
