Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
46.81% ( 0.26) | 26.35% ( -0.07) | 26.84% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.3% ( 0.17) | 54.7% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.97% ( 0.14) | 76.02% ( -0.14) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.19) | 23.35% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( 0.28) | 57.32% ( -0.28) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( -0.06) | 35.59% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( -0.06) | 72.36% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 26.84% |
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