It would not be a complete surprise to see this encounter between two confidence-sapped sides end goalless, but the importance of Neves's return cannot be understated, and Wolves have proven a tough nut to crack more often than not at Molineux.
With only one away goal to their name all season long, Forest's lack of ruthlessness is set to continue on another miserable away day, and Wolves can nick a goal against a shaky Tricky Trees backline to give their fans something to cheer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
0.33) 
-0.13) 
