Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
49.04% ( 0.33) | 26.32% ( -0.13) | 24.63% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( 0.32) | 56.07% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.26) | 77.15% ( -0.27) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( 0.29) | 22.92% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( 0.42) | 56.68% ( -0.43) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% ( -0) | 38.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.99% ( -0) | 75% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.63% |
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