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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
NF

Wolves
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Neves (56' pen.)
Podence (80'), Hodge (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dennis (16'), McKenna (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Nottingham Forest

It would not be a complete surprise to see this encounter between two confidence-sapped sides end goalless, but the importance of Neves's return cannot be understated, and Wolves have proven a tough nut to crack more often than not at Molineux. With only one away goal to their name all season long, Forest's lack of ruthlessness is set to continue on another miserable away day, and Wolves can nick a goal against a shaky Tricky Trees backline to give their fans something to cheer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNottingham Forest
49.04% (0.33 0.33) 26.32% (-0.133 -0.13) 24.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (0.323 0.32)56.07% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.262 0.26)77.15% (-0.268 -0.27)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.286 0.29)22.92% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.423 0.42)56.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.04%
    Nottingham Forest 24.63%
    Draw 26.32%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Man City
Saturday, September 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Wolves
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Nott'm Forest
Monday, October 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Fulham
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 6-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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