Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Bournemouth | 6 | -13 | 7 |
15 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 6 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 6 | 7 | 15 |
2 | Manchester City | 6 | 14 | 14 |
3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
14.7% ( 1.03) | 18.61% ( 0.88) | 66.69% ( -1.91) |
Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.83% ( -1.89) | 37.17% ( 1.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.63% ( -2.07) | 59.37% ( 2.07) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% ( 0.19) | 37.96% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% ( 0.18) | 74.73% ( -0.18) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.68% ( -0.97) | 10.32% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.24% ( -2.24) | 33.76% ( 2.25) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.7% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.61% | 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.25) 1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0.23) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.87% Total : 66.69% |
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