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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Molineux
MC

Wolves
0 - 3
Man City


Nunes (65'), Neves (65')
Collins (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Grealish (1'), Braut Haaland (16'), Foden (69')
Rodri (13')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Manchester City

A mouthwatering battle between Haaland and the physically-imposing pair of Nathan Collins and Max Kilman should be a fascinating watch this Saturday lunchtime, and City's attack must be firing on all cylinders to break down Wolves' walls. The introduction of Costa does not mean that the hosts' attacking woes will be fixed overnight, though, and we still expect the champions to rise to the summit with a hard-fought three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester City
14.7% (1.028 1.03) 18.61% (0.879 0.88) 66.69% (-1.905 -1.91)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.429 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (-1.889 -1.89)37.17% (1.892 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (-2.07 -2.07)59.37% (2.072 2.07)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.19 0.19)37.96% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.182 0.18)74.73% (-0.179 -0.18)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)10.32% (0.969 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.24% (-2.244 -2.24)33.76% (2.248 2.25)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.7%
    Manchester City 66.69%
    Draw 18.61%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.17% (0.248 0.25)
1-0 @ 3.8% (0.357 0.36)
2-0 @ 1.84% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.7%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.472 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.35 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.61%
0-2 @ 10.1% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.444 0.44)
0-3 @ 7.65% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-3 @ 7.41% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-4 @ 4.34% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-4 @ 4.21% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 2.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.97% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-5 @ 1.91% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 66.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Wolves
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Preston
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Wolves
Saturday, August 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sevilla 0-4 Man City
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 6-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Man City
Wednesday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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