Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
66.66% ( 0.09) | 20.44% ( -0.03) | 12.89% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.51% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% | 49.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.58% ( -0) | 71.42% ( -0) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( 0.03) | 13.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.62% ( 0.06) | 41.38% ( -0.06) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.71% ( -0.1) | 48.29% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.56% ( -0.07) | 83.44% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 66.65% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: