Scoring and conceding away from home has been the theme for Crystal Palace over the past few months, and a similar pattern should be followed here, with Newcastle still vulnerable at the back at times.
Both teams will be fired up to put their midweek disappointments behind them, but the bouncing St James' Park atmosphere, potential returns of Guimaraes and Saint-Maximin and Isak's explosive start will all work in Newcastle's favour as Howe's side seek to grind out a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
1.87) 
-0.63) 
