Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
