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EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
MU

Brighton
0 - 3
Man Utd


Burn (43'), Veltman (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McTominay (44'), Mata (73'), Pogba (80')
Lindelof (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester United
23.65%23.71%52.64%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47%46.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2%68.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36%17.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75%48.25%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 23.65%
    Manchester United 52.64%
    Draw 23.71%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 6.47%
2-1 @ 6.08%
2-0 @ 3.5%
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 23.65%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 8.99%
1-3 @ 5.63%
0-3 @ 5.2%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 52.64%


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