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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Goodison Park
LL

Everton
1 - 4
Liverpool

Gray (38')
Townsend (16'), Allan (31'), Digne (40'), Gray (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Henderson (9'), Salah (19', 64'), Jota (79')
Alcantara (39'), Robertson (63'), van Dijk (80')

We said: Everton 0-2 Liverpool

As the old saying goes, form goes out of the window when it comes to such a hotly-contested derby, and Everton's recent record against Liverpool at Goodison Park will certainly serve as encouragement. Each of the last four meetings between the sides on the Toffees' turf has ended level, but a weakened Everton backline and misfiring attack are ill-equipped to take a point from this clash, with Klopp's men sweeping aside almost everything in front of them at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawLiverpool
14.51%18.19%67.31%
Both teams to score 56.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47%35.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42%57.58%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05%73.95%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.28%9.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.62%32.39%
Score Analysis
    Everton 14.51%
    Liverpool 67.31%
    Draw 18.19%
EvertonDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 4.13%
1-0 @ 3.58%
2-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.59%
3-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 14.51%
1-1 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 3.61%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.19%
0-2 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-1 @ 8.42%
0-3 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 7.55%
0-4 @ 4.44%
1-4 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.74%
2-4 @ 2.18%
0-5 @ 2.07%
1-5 @ 2.05%
2-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 67.31%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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