Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Watford
45.59%	27.48%	26.93%

Both teams to score 46.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.26%

58.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.73%

79.27%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27%

25.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35%

60.65%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28%

37.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.5%

74.49%

Score Analysis

Everton 45.59%

Watford 26.93%

Draw 27.47%

Everton	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.13% Total : 45.59%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.93%