Premier League | Gameweek 5

Oct 17, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
2 - 2
Liverpool

Keane (19'), Calvert-Lewin (81')
Rodriguez (45'), Gomes (69'), Allan (84')
Richarlison (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mane (3'), Salah (72')
Mane (67'), Fabinho (84')

Michael Oliver admits mistake over Pickford, Van Dijk challenge

Gareth Southgate phoned Jordan Pickford after Merseyside derby

Adrian: 'No defence for Jordan Pickford tackle'

Carlo Ancelotti defends Jordan Pickford after Virgil van Dijk injury

Virgil van Dijk injury "worse than initially feared"

Jurgen Klopp, Georginio Wijnaldum unhappy with Everton's approach in Merseyside derby

Klopp: 'Van Dijk injury difficult to accept'

Merseyside Police to investigate Jordan Pickford abuse on social media

Bosnich calls for Pickford to be banned for length of Van Dijk injury

Jordan Pickford avoids retrospective action after Virgil van Dijk challenge

Virgil van Dijk vows to return "as quickly as possible"

A look at Liverpool's defensive dilemma following Virgil van Dijk injury

Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk to undergo surgery on knee injury

Liverpool 'left troubled over application of VAR against Everton'

Richarlison puts tackle on Thiago down to "over-dedication"

Virgil van Dijk 'suffers ACL injury and could miss eight months'

Liverpool 'ask Premier League to review VAR decisions against Everton'

Jurgen Klopp angered by VAR after draw with Everton

A look at Jordan Pickford's performance in Merseyside derby

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Liverpool
25.66%	23.12%	51.22%

Both teams to score 58.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99%

42.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59%

64.41%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16%

65.84%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5%

16.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.78%

46.22%

Score Analysis

Everton 25.66%

Liverpool 51.22%

Draw 23.12%

Everton	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 6.5% 1-0 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.66%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.22%