Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Southampton
30.42%	26.14%	43.43%

Both teams to score 52.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91%

52.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19%

73.81%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53%

31.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14%

67.85%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99%

58.01%

Score Analysis

Everton 30.42%

Southampton 43.43%

Draw 26.14%

Everton	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.43%