Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
