SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Everton |
48.47% ( -0.68) | 24.33% ( 0.23) | 27.2% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( -0.7) | 46.2% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( -0.67) | 68.5% ( 0.67) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.55) | 19.14% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( -0.91) | 50.78% ( 0.91) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( -0.03) | 30.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( -0.04) | 67.07% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.2% |
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