Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Fulham
40.69% ( -0.02)	26.25% ( -0.01)	33.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.31% (

0.05)

51.69% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.53% (

0.04)

73.47% (

-0.04)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

0.02)

25.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

0.02)

59.71% (

-0.02)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.04)

29.48% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

0.05)

65.49% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Everton 40.69%

Fulham 33.06%

Draw 26.25%

Everton	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.69%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.06%