SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Everton had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Everton |
52.92% ( 0.02) | 23.07% ( -0) | 24.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( 0) | 43.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( 0) | 65.75% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( 0.01) | 16.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.99% ( 0.01) | 46.02% ( -0.01) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.01) | 31.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.75% ( -0.01) | 68.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.02% |
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