Each side have earned a convincing victory against a Big Six club this season, with the Bees blanking Man United 4-0, while the Peacocks dropped Chelsea 3-0. More often than not, though, neither team have been able to put away matches when given the opportunity, so we expect a low-scoring affair between two clubs who have been resilient through the early portion of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Leeds United
45.94% ( -0.04)	25.67% ( -0.16)	28.39% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

0.77)

51.13% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.67)

72.98% (

-0.67)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.31)

22.23% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.46)

55.66% (

-0.46)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

0.56)

32.46% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

0.63)

68.99% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Brentford 45.93%

Leeds United 28.39%

Draw 25.67%

Brentford	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.39%